Beyond Nuclear International

The Saudi path to nuclear weapons

Kingdom’s pursuit of nuclear power development should set off alarm bells

By Henry Sokolski

Iran’s nuclear program, oil, and human rights dominated Biden’s much-anticipated first presidential trip to the Middle East earlier this month. But there is one topic President Biden chose not to showcase during his visit with Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed Bin Salman Al Saud—the Kingdom’s most recent interest in nuclear energy—and the nuclear weapons proliferation concerns that come with it.

Only weeks before Biden’s visit, Riyadh invited South Korea, Russia, and China to bid on the construction of two large power reactors. On that bid, Korea Electric Power Company (KEPCO) is the most likely winner. KEPCO has already built four reactors for Riyadh’s neighbor, the United Arab Emirates, and is the only vendor to bring a power reactor of its own design online in the Middle East. South Korea also is the only government to provide reliable, generous financing, free of political strings—something neither Moscow nor Beijing can credibly claim.

And then, there’s this: Any Korean sale would be covered by a generous 2011 South Korean nuclear cooperative agreement with Riyadh that explicitly authorizes the Saudis to enrich any uranium it might receive from Seoul. Under the agreement, Riyadh could enrich this material by up to 20 percent, without having to secure Seoul’s prior consent.

That should set off alarm bells.

Do the Saudis want a bomb? 

In 2018, Crown Prince Mohammed Bin Salman announced that “if Iran developed a nuclear bomb, we will follow suit as soon as possible.” As if to prove the point, late in 2020, word leaked that the Saudis have been working secretly with the Chinese to mine and process Saudi uranium ore. These are steps toward enriching uranium—and a possible nuclear weapon program.

What is the true nuclear agenda of Saudi Arabia’s Crown Prince Mohammed Bin Salman? (Photo: US Department of State/Wikimedia Commons)

Unlike the Emirates, which legally renounced enriching uranium or reprocessing spent fuel to separate plutonium, the Kingdom insists on retaining its “right” to enrich. Also, unlike most members of the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA), Saudi Arabia refuses to allow intrusive inspections that might help the IAEA find covert nuclear weapons-related activities, if they exist, under a nuclear inspections addendum known as the Additional Protocol.

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«Русский мир» Запорожской АЭС

Одна заблудшая ракетаe

Владимир Сливяк

Потенциальная ядерная авария мирового масштаба на Запорожской АЭС снова на повестке дня. ООН и МАГАТЭ, не обращаясь к какой-либо из сторон конфликта напрямую, умоляют прекратить обстреливать атомную станцию. По сообщениям международных СМИ, российская армия разместила на территории станции не только войска, но и вооружение.

Насколько ужасна ситуация?

Хуже может быть только сама ядерная катастрофа — вроде Чернобыльской. Напомню, что тогда взорвался один реактор. Радиоактивное облако двигалось таким образом, что загрязненными оказались не только части современных Украины, Беларуси, России, но и многих стран Европы. Часть радиации долетела до Африки и даже до Северной Америки.

На Запорожской АЭС установлено шесть реакторов.

Стрельба через реку Днепр поставила под угрозу Запорожскую АЭС. (Фото: Макс Карочкин)

Возможна ли крупная авария? Вполне. Для этого достаточно обесточить АЭС, разрушив линии электропередач, — и вроде как по этим линиям уже стреляют. Аварийные генераторы, конечно, смогут какое-то время снабжать станцию энергией, если только они исправны, но это вопрос часов.

Вспоминается, как одна из российских АЭС оказалась на грани аварии в начале 1990-х годов, когда ураган повалил линии электропередач, а генераторы оказались неисправны. Даже войны не понадобилось.

Реакторы — не единственный источник опасности. На площадке Запорожской АЭС в контейнерах хранится отработавшее ядерное топливо, наиболее опасный вид ядерных отходов. Бомбардировка этой площадки также приведет к одной из крупнейших ядерных аварий в истории. В 1957 году на челябинском предприятии «Маяк», в то время секретном, произошел взрыв в хранилище ядерных отходов — радиоактивное загрязнение распространилось примерно на 20 тыс. кв. км территории СССР.

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One errant missile away

But war is not the only risk at besieged nuclear plant

By Vladimir Slivyak

(Note: This text below a Deepl translation from the Russian of an opinion piece in the Moscow Times. The Russian version is also republished on Beyond Nuclear International.)

A potential worldwide nuclear accident at the Zaporizhzhia nuclear power plant is back on the agenda. The UN and the IAEA, without addressing any of the parties to the conflict directly, are pleading for an end to the shelling of the nuclear plant. According to international media reports, the Russian army has deployed not only troops but also weapons on the territory of the plant.

How bad is the situation?

Only a nuclear catastrophe, like the one at Chernobyl, can be worse. Let me remind you that one reactor exploded then. The radioactive cloud moved in such a way that not only parts of the present-day Ukraine, Belarus, and Russia, but also many countries in Europe became contaminated. Part of the radiation reached Africa and even North America.

There are six reactors at the Zaporizhzhia nuclear power plant.

Is a major accident possible? Quite possible. It is enough to de-energize the plant by destroying the power lines — and these lines are already being shot at. The emergency generators, of course, will be able to supply power to the plant for some time, as long as they are in good order, but it’s a matter of hours.

I recall a Russian nuclear power plant on the verge of an accident in the early 1990s, when a hurricane brought down power lines and the generators were out of order. Not even a war was needed.

Firing across the Dnipro River has put the Zaporizhzhia nuclear power plant at risk. (Photo: Maks Karochkin)

Reactors are not the only source of danger. At the Zaporizhzhia nuclear power plant site, spent nuclear fuel, the most dangerous type of nuclear waste, is stored in containers. Bombing this site would also lead to one of the biggest nuclear accidents in history. In 1957, there was an explosion at the then-secret Chelyabinsk-based Mayak nuclear waste storage facility — radioactive contamination spread to some 20,000 square kilometers of Soviet territory.

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Woolly sweaters aren’t so bad

Dialing down consumption is the answer to replacing Russian oil and gas

By Paul Hockenos

This is the way energy efficiency works, say the experts: skimp here and there, shave a degree off heating processes, reduce speed limits by 10 km/h, insulate doors and windows. Bit-piece skrimping adds up quickly – very quickly – and could help the West immensely in dealing with a stop to Russian energy imports.

Of course, renovating old buildings and outfitting new ones with state-of-the-art energy efficiency and generation capacities is the long-term strategy that experts say is a game changer. Industries have to get energy smart, too, and revamp technology in ways that will, among other things, save them money.

But the low-hanging fruit is much easier to pick – and will be the go-to measures should energy from Russia be cut off abruptly. According to the International Energy Agency, for example, households and buildings turning down the thermostat by 1 degree Celsius in Europe would save about 10bn cubic metres of gas within a year, a useful saving on total Russian gas imports of 155bn cubic metres, if implemented alongside other such measures. German experts say double the impact by dialing back by 2 degrees – and taking short showers, turning off the lights, and shutting doors at home. This could cut back gas consumption in Germany by as much as 10 percent.

Can’t we all wear extra thick sweaters in solidarity with the people of Ukraine? It’s not too much to ask, I think.

Households and buildings turning down the thermostat by 1 degree Celsius in Europe would save about 10bn cubic metres of gas within a year. (Photo: Lars Plougmann/Creative Commons)

The Belgian think tank Bruegel argues that energy conservation in residences can be promoted with either regulation or economic incentives. Public and private buildings can be required to reduce heating or encouraged to do so through “saving-bonuses” paid on the basis of energy saved.

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The Germany energy revolution is working

Critics who cherry pick out-of-context soundbites are missing the overall trajectory

By Linda Pentz Gunter

This week, Beyond  Nuclear introduces the fifth in our series of Talking Points: Germany’s Energy Revolution (’Energiewende’) is working.

The purpose of the Talking Points series, is to provide some concise and accessible factoids that answer the many questions in circulation about the role, if any, of nuclear power in addressing climate change.

In the view of Beyond Nuclear, nuclear power not only has no role to play in addressing what is now a climate emergency, it is a proactive impediment to progress, wasting time and diverting money from the measures we should and now urgently must take to get off fossil fuels— those being renewable energy implementation, conservation and, above all, energy efficiency.

Germany’s green energy revolution — known in German as the Energiewende — is constantly misrepresented in the talking points dished out by the other side. It has become the convenient whipping boy of the pro-nuclear crowd, who simply cherry pick headlines out of context without looking at the actual facts.

The purpose of our Energiewende Talking Points, is, therefore, to set the record straight. This was validated in some measure by Javier Blas’s July 29 timely Bloomberg article — Paris Faces an Even Colder, Darker Winter Than Berlin. France is more vulnerable than Germany to blackouts once the weather turns colder. 

Talking Points #5: Germany’s Energy Revolution is working is free to download.

France is equally misrepresented by the pro-nuclear lobby, held up as the poster child of the nuclear success story. But the truth is rather different. As we point out in these Talking Points, the French nuclear monopoly, and the country’s reliance on electric heat, means it has to import power in winter, often from Germany. Its nuclear supply cannot meet demand but at the same time has stifled growth in renewable energy. 

The Talking Points are all freely available to download and print at home. An email request — to info@beyondnuclear.org — will get you as many printed copies as you need, usually for the price of an optional tax-deductible donation.

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Completely inadequate

Ontario needs above-ground, attack-resistant vaults for radioactive waste

By Angela Bischoff, Clean Air Alliance

We need a safer interim storage solution for Ontario’s nuclear wastes.

The International Joint Commission’s Great Lakes Water Quality Board is calling for Ontario Power Generation’s (OPG) nuclear waste storage facilities to be “hardened” and located away from shorelines to prevent them from becoming compromised by flooding and erosion.

According to a report prepared for OPG, the total capital cost of building above-ground, attack-resistant, reinforced concrete vaults at the Pickering, Darlington and Bruce Nuclear Stations would be approximately $1 billion. This safer interim storage solution can be fully paid for by OPG’s nuclear waste storage fund, which has a market value of $11.3 billion.

The total radioactivity of the nuclear wastes stored at the Pickering, Darlington and Bruce Nuclear Stations is 700 times greater than the total radiation released to the atmosphere by the Fukushima accident in 2011.

Ontario Power Generation (OPG) is proposing to continue to store these wastes in dry storage containers in conventional commercial storage buildings at its nuclear stations until at least 2043. In the long term, OPG is hoping that the nuclear wastes can be transferred off-site to a permanent storage facility where they would be placed in caverns 500 to 1,000 metres below ground.

OPG wants to keep radioactive waste in conventional storage buildings on the edge of the Great Lakes for decades to come.

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